Among Asian Markets, Tokyo is Tops


Originally Published:
Monday, August 24, 2009


The combination of softening business activities in Asia and turmoil in the global financial markets continues to limit commercial real estate investment activity in the Asia Pacific region. Investors remain cautious as property values and rents decline. Cross-border investment especially has been subdued by a lack of debt financing and heightened risk aversion on the part of institutional investors.

During April 2009, Real Capital Analytics tracked deal volume in the Asia Pacific region (based on deals valued at US$10 million or more) of $5.9 billion, which represents a 57% drop from the April 2008 total. On a year-to-date basis through April 2009, investors completed transactions totaling $25.6 billion, a decline of approximately 65% from the 2008 four-month total of $75.5 billion. Markets in China attracted the most capital during April ($3.4 billion), followed by Japan ($1.6 billion). However, during the first four months of 2009 investment activity in China experienced a 57% drop from the comparable 2008 figure. Japan’s decline was even steeper at 65%.

Investors consider Tokyo relatively attractive, especially the office sector, and the city registered the most investment activity year-to-date, with a total of approximately $6.4 billion. During, the past 12 months, Tokyo has been the most active market globally as transactions have totaled more than $20 billion. It was announced recently that Tokyo’s Inner Central District has supplanted London’s West End as the world’s most expensive office market, according to research by CB Richard Ellis.

Other markets that have recorded the highest transaction sums during the year’s first four months include Beijing ($1.7 billion), Shanghai ($1.5 billion), Seoul ($1.3 billion) and Osaka ($1.2 billion). Investors have focused on development projects; during the past 12 months, development sites have represented 47% of total transaction volume.

     2009 ytd 2008 Grand Total
 Continent  Country  Metros $ mil # of Props $ mil # of Props $ mil # of Props
 Asia  China Beijing  $1,663  24  $15,406  133  $17,070   157 
 Shanghai  $1,477  19   $8,099  84   $9,576  103 
 Hangzhou $501  11   $4,919  59  $5,420  70 
 Tianjin  $780  18   $5,712  84   $6,492  102 
 Chengdu    $1,342  13  $1,342  13 
 Chongqing  $122  6   $1,542  28   $1,664  34 
 Guangzhou $13  1   $1,316  16  $1,329  17 
 Foshan  60.3  1   $612  12   $672  13 
 Nanjing $137  6   $1,769  22  $1,906  28 
 Xiamen  $118  6   $763  18   $881  24 
 Wuhan 175.8  1   $435  8  $611  9 
 China Other  $6,864  101   $19,329  448   $26,193  549 
 Hong Kong  Hong Kong $841  39  $8,882   204  $9,722  243 
 India  India all  $312  2   $5,305  94   $5,617  96 
 Japan  Tokyo $6,356  98  $29,188   437  $35,544  535 
 Osaka  $1,200  15   $5,439  77   $6,639  92 
 Japan Other $490  16   $6,291  151  $6,781  167 
 Malaysia  Kuala Lumpur  $153  6   $2,762  38   $2,915  44 
 Malaysia other $115   2  $994  20  $1,109  22 
 Singapore  Singapore, all  $164  6   $9,388  117   $9,551  123 
 South Korea  Seoul $1,269  14  $7,155   85  $8,424  99 
South Korea other  $216  7   $2,700  67   $2,915  74 
 Taiwan  Taiwan, all $952  16  $4,655   92  $5,608  108 
 Asia Other  Asia other  $86  4   $4,484  108   $4,570  112 
 Total $24,065   419  $148,488  2415  $172,553   2834 
 Australia  Australia  Sydney $136   9  $2,388   57  $2,524   66 
 Melbourne $388  8   $1,791  54  $2,179  62 
 Brisbane  $363  12   $1,568  46   $1,930  58 
 Perth $54  3   $884  33  $938  36 
 Australia other  $488  17   $1,938  60   $2,426  77 
 New Zealand  New Zealand all $142  4  $539   37  $681  41 
 Total $1,571   53  $9,108  287  $10,679  340 
 Grand Total  $25,636  472  $157,597  2702   $183,232  3174 
Based on independent reports of properties and portfolios $10 million and greater. Data believed to be accurate but not guaranteed.
 

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Based on live data; deals valued at $10 mil. or greater reported in contract or closed in past 12 months
 
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Real Capital Analytics, Inc.
+1 212-387-7103


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